Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 13.320168 15.575593 18.038240 20.919132 24.188809 27.776210 32.001605
2025-04-27 10.171121 13.409169 17.309858 22.315121 28.523324 35.923714 45.360867
2025-05-04 8.014027 11.636451 16.353464 22.853984 31.473751 42.394070 57.138310
2025-05-11 6.385900 10.087194 15.240772 22.783009 33.351035 47.416956 67.292910
2025-05-18 5.119626 8.737630 14.090861 22.356337 34.510573 51.390844 76.185419
2025-05-25 4.151739 7.620866 13.052194 21.859201 35.385098 54.893842 84.540145
2025-06-01 3.394916 6.682171 12.111918 21.328189 36.060311 58.051373 92.507688
2025-06-08 2.695217 5.696772 10.929991 20.225760 35.679639 59.529370 98.011621
2025-06-15 2.440324 5.461553 10.960108 21.081338 38.426599 65.887456 111.196571
2025-06-22 2.159851 5.121991 10.750187 21.482380 40.431218 71.185098 123.033310
2025-06-29 1.822403 4.600289 10.126754 21.065000 40.988254 74.165463 131.352256
2025-07-06 1.492829 4.025691 9.313044 20.188742 40.638391 75.590352 137.193519
2025-07-13 1.381744 3.941006 9.503785 21.317597 44.119647 83.928133 155.368277
2025-07-20 1.287306 3.883254 9.756053 22.624844 48.101611 93.498650 176.388488
2025-07-27 1.141385 3.664241 9.628388 23.150059 50.661832 100.769572 193.958472
2025-08-03 0.976130 3.351931 9.238936 23.074750 52.043253 106.016564 208.317342
2025-08-10 0.816531 3.010235 8.719133 22.642744 52.658135 109.881326 220.429327
2025-08-17 0.679783 2.694323 8.202272 22.140000 53.061378 113.349197 231.992849
2025-08-24 0.564192 2.407332 7.703047 21.603077 53.323949 116.538690 243.194261
2025-08-31 0.446295 2.070624 7.004289 20.488347 52.225008 116.990521 249.287605
2025-09-07 0.414228 2.028666 7.109211 21.353476 55.533081 126.319944 272.655428
2025-09-14 0.370988 1.930719 7.036363 21.758977 57.840484 133.774383 292.795867
2025-09-21 0.310983 1.743804 6.663595 21.336957 58.213384 137.306807 305.489742